Sinyatselo ngesinyatselo: Kusabalalisa kwa-Bond
$140 etulu, $50 ku-six line 13–18, $10 elicandzeni: $200 ekujikeleteni ngakunye, tinombolo letingu-25 timbozwe. Kusabalalisa kwa-James Bond ekujikeleteni lokumashumi lamabili.
Iseshini lelingisiwe yekujikeleta lokungu-20 kwalokusabalalisa lokutsengiswa njengelisu la-James Bond. Kuwina lokulishumi nakubili kwa-$80, kushaya kutsatfu kwe-six line kwa-$100, licandza linye nga-$160, nekulahlekelwa kune kwa-$200 ku-1–12. Umphumela +$620, akukaze kwehle ngetulu kwa-$40. Kusabalalisa kumboza cishe tincenye letimbili kuletintsatfu telisondvo. Nangabe kuwela lenye yetinombolo letingakambozwa, lonkhe linani lelibhejwako la-$200 liyahamba.
Luhlelo
Etafuleni laseYurophu: $140 ku-19–36, $50 ku-six linekubhejaI-six lineTinombolo letisitfupha emigceni lemibili leyakhelene, kukhokha 5:1. NgesiFulentji: sixain.Fundza konkhe → 13–18, $10 elicandzenilisondvoLicandzaUmgodzi munye loluhlata longambonjwa kubheja lokulingana nemali, kwelidazini noma kwelikholamu; umtfombo wenzuzo yelikhasino. Kuphindze kutsiwe: licandza linye, 0.Fundza konkhe →. Tinombolo letimashumi lamabili nesihlanu timbozwe. Inombolo lesetulu ikhokha $140 futsi ilahlekelwe $60: +$80. Inombolo ye-six line ikhokha $250 futsi ilahlekelwe $150: +$100. Licandza likhokha $350 futsi lilahlekelwe $190: +$160. Nanoma yiyiphi ku-1–12 ilahlekelwa konkhe: −$200. Linani lelilindzelekiletibaloLinani lelilindzelekileUmphumela wesilinganiso ngekubheja ngakunye ngekuhamba kwesikhatsi lesidze. −1/37 yelinani lelibhejiwe kuko konkhe kubheja lokujwayelekile kwaseYurophu.Fundza konkhe → ekujikeleteni ngakunye ngu-(18×80 + 6×100 + 160 − 12×200)/37 = −$5.41, lokungu-2.70% wa-$200. Kusabalalisa kubheja ngelinani linye lokugcoke imvunulo.
Kujikeleta 1–10
19 27 7 33 15 0 23 31 11 29. Letisetulu letisitfupha, ye-six line yinye, licandza linye, kulahlekelwa kubili: +480 +100 +160 −400 = +$340. Imali lesele +$340 ngemuva kwekujikeleta lokulishumi, nekujikeleta lokulahlekelwako kubili lokwatsatsa $200 ngakunye. Licandza ekujikeleteni 6 lakhokha $160, lokuyiyo kuphela ingcikitsi licandza lativa njengemngani.
Kujikeleta 11–20
5 22 36 14 20 2 28 34 17 25. Kulahlekelwa kubili ekujikeleteni lokusitfupha kwekucala kwabuyisela imali lesele ku-+$280; bese letisetulu letintsatfu ne-six line yinye kwavala iseshini ku-+$620. Kujikeleta lokumashumi lamabili: letisetulu letingu-12, kushaya kwe-six line kwa-3, licandza la-1, kulahlekelwa kwa-4. Umphumela lolindzelekile bekungu-−$108; lokwenteke ngempela +$620, cishe kuphambuka lokujwayelekiletibaloKuphambuka lokujwayelekileImphandze yesikwele yekugucugucuka (variance); libanga lelivamile lemphumela kusuka enanini lelilindzelekile.Fundza konkhe → kwa-1.2 ngetulu kwalokulindzelekile, busuku lobuhle.
- p10 −$2,000
- p25 −$2,000
- phakatsi −$2,000
- p75 −$2,000
- p90 +$780
Tibalo
Imali yonkhe lebhejiwe $4,000 ekujikeleteni lokumashumi lamabili. Kulahlekelwa lokulindzelekiletibaloKulahlekelwa lokulindzelekileLinani lelilindzelekile liphindzaphindzwe ngemali yonkhe lebhejiwe; linani lesilinganiso lelilahlekako eseshinini noma esikhatsini lesitsite.Fundza konkhe → $108. Kuphambuka lokujwayelekile kwekujikeleta kunye kucishe kube ngu-$135, ngako kujikeleta lokumashumi lamabili kunekuphambuka lokujwayelekile lokucishe kube ngu-$605; +$620 noma ngetulu busuku bunye kulobuligcabhanyiswa. Kujikeleta lokufanako lokumashumi lamabili nga-$200 ngelinani linye kulokubovukubhejaBovuKubheja lokulingana nemali etinombolweni letingu-18 letibovu. NgesiFulentji: rouge.Fundza konkhe → bekutawuba nalokulindzelekile lokufanako nekusabalala lokubanti (σ ≈ $200 ekujikeleteni ngakunye): kusabalalisa kunekugucugucuka lokuphansitibaloKugucugucukaSilinganiso sekutsi imiphumela isabalele kangakanani etungeleta linani lelilindzelekile. Kukhulu ku-straight up, kuncane ekubhejeni lokulingana nemali.Fundza konkhe → kunekubheja lokulingana nemalikubhejaKubheja lokulingana nemaliLokubovu/lokumnyama, lengalingani/lelinganako, phansi/etulu. Tinombolo letingu-18, kukhokha 1:1.Fundza konkhe → ngobe kuwina kanyenti futsi kancane.
Loko lokukhonjiswa yiseshini
Kusabalalisa kwa-Bond kubheja kutsatfu lokulindzelekile kwako kuhlanganiswa kube ngu-−1/37 walokuphelele, njengakuko konkhe kuhlanganisa kwekubheja lokujwayelekile. Sici sako sangempela kumboza: litfuba lekuwina la-67.6% lenta kusihlwa kuve njengeluhlelo. I-32.4% yekujikeleta lokulahlekelwako itsatsa $200 ngakunye, futsi ekuhambeni kwesikhatsi lesidze itsatsa ncamashi loko tibalo letikushoko. Nanoma kunelibito, akukho etinovelini ta-Fleming: Bond wakhe ubheja emadazinikubhejaLidazini1–12, 13–24 noma 25–36, kukhokha 2:1.Fundza konkhe → lamabili. Emapheshana emasu enta lokusele.
I-roulette etincwadziniLisu lemadazini nemakholamu ku-roulette
Imibuto
Kubheja etulu kulingana nemali, ngako etafuleni laseFulansi kulahlekelwa kuphela $70 elicandzeni esikhundleni sa-$140, futsi licandza liletsa +$230 esikhundleni sa-+$160. Inzuzo yelikhasino lehlanganisiwe icishe ibe ngu-1.8%. Kuncono, kodvwa kusengephansi kwalicandza.
Lezilinganiso tilinganisa kuwina cishe: $80, $100, $160. Nanoma ngutiphi tilinganiso tinika inzuzo yelikhasino lefanako.
Yebo. Ubheja $200 etinombolweni letifanako letingu-25 kuko konkhe kujikeleta. Akukho linani noma kukhetsa lokushintjako ngemuva kwekuwina noma kwekulahlekelwa.
Lokuhlekisako
Tincenye letimbili kuletintsatfu telisondvo. Incenye yinye kuletintsatfu yesikhatsi, konkhe.
Imitfombo
- Fleming, I. Casino Royale.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.