Umlandvo nemasiko · Umlandvo · emaminithi 9

Umlandvo wetinhlelo te-roulette

Emakhulu lamabili eminyaka bantfu babhala phansi imitsetfo yekushintja linani labalibhejako.

Imphendvulo lemfisha

I-Martingale ingeyelikhulu le-18; i-D’Alembert iphatfwe ngeligama lesati setibalo lebesingayitsandzi; i-Labouchère yintfo lebeyitsandvwa ngusipolitiki wesikhatsi sa-Victoria. Kute neyinye yato lebeyisebenta ngaleso sikhatsi.

Martingale

likhulu le-18, eFulansi

D’Alembert

ngemuva kwa-1717–1783

Labouchère

likhulu le-19, eNgilandi

kuhlolwa kwekucala ngekhompyutha

ema-1950

Martingale

Ligama lisuka elulwimini lwemgwaco lwebagembuli besi-Provençal (à la martegalo, “ngendlela yebantfu baseMartigues”, labebatiwa ngekungacaphelisisi) lekubheja ngekuphindzaphindza kabili, lelibhalwe etichazamagameni tesiFulentjhi kusukela ngema-1760. Thorp (1984), alandzela i-American Heritage Dictionary, unika inchazelo yesibili yemasiko: bantfu baseMartigues bebahlekwa ngemikhuba lemangalisako, phakatsi kwayo kubopha emabhulukwe abo ngemuva, ngako-ke lelibinzana laba nenchazelo yekutsi “ngendlela lehlekisako”. Bekuvele kuyindzaba yekucwayisa eParis yelikhulu le-18: Casanova uchaza kulahlekelwa ngumcebo ngekuphindzaphindza kabili ku-faro eVenice ngema-1750. Tibalo tekutsi kungani yehluleka, umkhawulo welitafulalitafulaUmkhawulo welitafulaLinani lelincane nalelikhulu kakhulu lekubheja lelivunyelwe. Umkhawulo lophakeme ngiwo lomisa kwenyuswa kwelinani lokuphindza kabili.Fundza konkhe → kanye ne-imali yekubhejaimaliImali yekubhejaImali yonkhe lebekelwe kudlala. Kuphatsa imali yekubheja kusho kunquma kutsi ungafaka engcupheni lengakanani kuko kubheja ngakunye nakuyo iseshini ngayinye.Fundza konkhe → lenemkhawulo, betisetsakaleka ngema-1770. Ku-theory ye-litfubatibaloLitfubaLitfuba lekutsi umphumela wenteke, kusukela ku-0 kuya ku-1 noma ku-0% kuya ku-100%. Inombolo yinye: 1/37 = 2.70%.Fundza konkhe → “martingalelisuMartingaleKwenyuswa kwelinani lokuphindza kubheja kabili ngemuva kwekulahlekelwa ngakunye. Buka sigaba semasu kute ubone kutsi kwentani nekutsi akwenti ini.Fundza konkhe →” laba ligama lebuchwepheshe ngema-1930 lelichaza umdlalo lolinganakotibaloUmdlalo lolinganakoUmdlalo lapho kute luhlangotsi lolunenzuzo: konkhe kubheja kunelinani lelilindzelekile lelingu-zero.Fundza konkhe →, lokuyintfo yinye i-Martingale ye-roulette lengasiyo.

Ku-faro eVenice umdlali uphindzaphindza kabili ngemuva kwekulahlekelwa, njengoba kwenta Casanova.

Imikhawulo yelitafula le-roulette

D’Alembert

Jean le Rond d’Alembert waphikisa ku-Encyclopédie (1754) kutsi ngemuva kwekulandzelana kwetinhloko, imisila iba nelitfuba lelikhulu, kuyinkhulumo yekucala ye-liphutsa lemgembuli lesuka kusati setibalo lesihamba embili. Luhlelo lwekubheja lolwengeta liyunithiimaliLiyunithiLinani lelibhejwako lelisisekelo luhlelo noma umdlali lasebenta ngalo. Kwenyuswa kwelinani kuchazwa ngemayunithi kute kusebente kunoma ngumuphi litafula.Fundza konkhe → ngemuva kwekulahlekelwa futsi lisuse linye ngemuva kwekuwina lwaphatfwa ngeligama lakhe ngulabagembuli labeta ngemuva labebanalenkholelo. Akazange aluphakamise futsi, ngemalanga akhe lamahle, bekangalwala.

Lisu le-D'Alembert ku-roulette

Labouchère

Henry LabouchèrelisuLabouchèreLuhlelo lwekusula: bhala lilayini letinombolo, bheja sibalo setinombolo letimbili letisemaphetselweni, utisule ngemuva kwekuwina, wengete linani lolilahlekelwe ngemuva kwekulahlekelwa.Fundza konkhe → (1831–1912), umbhali wemaphephandzaba, umnikati wetetfiyetha neLilunga lePhalamende le-Liberal, wenta luhlelo lwekucisha lwatiwa emphakatsini waseLondon ngema-1870 futsi kubikwa kutsi waluetama e-Monte Carlo. Lendlela, kubhala umugca wetinombolo bese ubheja inombolo lehlanganisiwe yetinombolo letisemaphetselweni, iyamandvulela. Ligama lakhe lanamatsela ngobe bekatiwa ngetinye tintfo futsi ngobe luhlelo lunesici lesingakavami sekutsi luvamise kusebenta, loko lokwalwenta indzaba yekucocwa ngayo edzili.

Tinhlelo nalabo letiphatfwe ngemagama abo

ema-1750

Casanova ulahlekelwa ngekuphindzaphindza kabili ku-faro. I-Martingale seyivele indzala.

1754

D’Alembert ushicilela liphutsa lelatsi kamuva laphatfwa ngeligama lakhe njengeluhlelo.

ema-1760

Ligama lelitsi “Martingale” lingena etichazamagameni tesiFulentjhi njengelulwimi lwemgwaco lwebagembuli.

ema-1870

Labouchère wenta kucisha kwatiwe eLondon.

ema-1890

Kwenyuswa kwelinani kwe-Fibonacci nekwe-Paroli kuvela etincwadzini temihlahlandlela yekugembula.

ema-1900

Tinhlelo te-“sigaba” letisekelwe ekuhlelekeni kwelisondvo tidayiswa ngeposi.

1939

Halmos, umfundzi waDoob, ufakazela kutsi kute luhlelo lwekubheja lolungashintja umdlalo longakuzuzisi ube umdlalo lokuzuzisako.

ema-1950–60

Emakhompyutha alingisa yonkhe luhlelo. Tonkhe tikhombisa −1/37 wemali yonkhe lebhejiwe.

lamuhla

Tinhlelo letifanako tidayiswa e-inthanethi tinemiphumela lefanako, tilingiswa ku-browser kulelisayithi.

I-roulette yaseMonte Carlo Lisu le-Labouchère ku-roulette

Likhulu le-20

I-FibonaccilisuFibonacciKwenyuswa kwelinani lokulandzela lolandzelano 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13…: sinyatselo sinye phambili ngemuva kwekulahlekelwa, tinyatselo letimbili emuva ngemuva kwekuwina.Fundza konkhe → ne-ParolilisuParoliKwenyuswa kwelinani ngemuva kwekuwina: phindza kabili ngemuva kwekuwina, buyela ekucaleni ngemuva kwekulahlekelwa noma ngemuva kwekuwina katsatfu kulandzelana. Kuphindze kutsiwe: i-Martingale lephambene.Fundza konkhe → kwangena etincwadzini temihlahlandlela yekugembula cishe nga-1900. Ekhatsi nelikhulu kwaletsa tinhlelo letidayiswa ngeposi, ngayinye inebufakazi bemuntfu nesetsembiso sekubuyiselwa imali, kanye nekulingisa kwekucala ngekhompyutha, lokwakhombisa loko tibalo betivele tikusho. Bufakazi bekutsi kute luhlelo lolungasebenta bebuvele bukhona: Joseph Doob (1936) na-Paul Halmos (1939) bakhombisa kutsi kute umtsetfo wekukhetsa kutsi ubheja nini nekutsi malini longashintja umphumela lolindzelekile wemdlalo lolinganako noma longakuzuzisi, futsi lucwaningo lwaThorp lwanga-1969 lwabeka imibandzela ngendlela bagembuli labahlangana ngayo nayo. Kusukela ngaleso sikhatsi tinhlelo atikashintji; kukhangisa kusuke emaphepheni kwaya kumavidiyo.

Umcondzisi uhlola luhlelo lolutsengwa ngeposi ngekulingisa ngekhompyutha, futsi umugca uyehla kuphela.

Inganekwane: Lisu le-roulette leliwina njalo Lisu le-Fibonacci ku-roulette

Kungani tisachubeka

Luhlelo lunika umdlali lokutsite lekufanele akwente nendzaba lekufanele ayixoxe. Tiseshini letinyenti ngaphansi kwetinhlelo letinyenti tiphela ngekuwina lokuncane, lokuyindzaba lencono kunetibalo. Tiseshini tekulahlekelwa atijwayelekile futsi tikhunjulwa njengebunhlanhla lobubi. Kukhangisa akudzingi kucamba emanga ngematfuba; kudzinga kuphela kukhombisa iseshini yekuwina, futsi tinyenti. Imphikiswano lephambene nako, 2.70% we-imali yonkhe lebhejiweimaliImali yonkhe lebhejiweLinani lonkhe lelibhejwe ngesikhatsi seseshini noma ngesikhatsi lesitsite, kubalwa nemali lewiniwe lephindze yabhejwa. Kuphindze kutsiwe: handle, action.Fundza konkhe →, ibikhona kusukela nga-1843 futsi ayikaze ibe nemandla ekuncenga njengebusuku benhlanhla.

luhlelolikhululoko bekukholwa kutsi luyakwentaloko lolukwentako

Martingalele-18kucinisekisa kuwina ngekuphindzaphindza kabililuwina kancane kanyenti; lulahlekelwa kakhulu kungavamile; −2.70%

D’Alembertle-18–19kusebentisa kulingana kwekuwina nekulahlekelwalinani lelibhejwako likhuphuka kancane kancane; −2.70%

Labouchèrele-19kucinisekisa linani lemugcaluvamise kucedza umugca; ngaletinye tikhatsi luyakhula lungalawuleki; −2.70%

Fibonaccile-19–20i-Martingale lemnenekukhuphuka kancane, liwa lelidze; −2.70%

Parolile-19–20kuhamba neluchungechunge lwekuwinakulahlekelwa lokuncane kanyenti, kuwina lokukhulu kungavamile; −2.70%

Tinhlelo tetigabale-20kusebentisa kuhlelwa kwelisondvolutfo; −2.70%

Tinhlelo letidayiswako

Kuhweba kwelikhulu le-20 kwengeta emasu ako, ngalinye lilungiselelo lelisha lekubheja lokufanako lokulahlekelako. I-Phase One beyidayiswa nga-$25 kanye ne-10% wekuwina kwemtsengi, kwetsenjiswa i-Phase Two nase kukhokhwe $500 kanye ne-“Inner Circle” nga-$5,000. Kute nalinye lelishintja tibalo: linani lelilindzelekiletibaloLinani lelilindzelekileUmphumela wesilinganiso ngekubheja ngakunye ngekuhamba kwesikhatsi lesidze. −1/37 yelinani lelibhejiwe kuko konkhe kubheja lokujwayelekile kwaseYurophu.Fundza konkhe → lekubheja lokulandzelanako lilingana nemaninani lahlanganisiwe lalindzelekile ekubheja ngakunye.

luhleloumcondvoloko lokwentekako ngempela

Phase Onengemuva kwetinombolo letibovu letisihlanu, bheja kulokumnyama ngelizinga le-5, 25, 70, 200, 500 kanye ne-1,000 emayunithikujikeleta kwesitfupha kusese ngu-18/38 kulokubovu; kulahlekelwa kasitfupha kulandzelana, cishe ku-1 ku-47 kulisondvo lelinelicandza lelikabili, kudla emayunithi langu-1,800

Kulindzela emacandzalindza kujikeleta lokungu-40 ngaphandle kwa-0 noma 00, bese ubheja kokubili, wengeta liyunithi ngemuva kwekuphutsa ngakunyeemacandza akakafaneleki kuphuma: kokubili kuphutsa kujikeleta lokungu-40 cishe kanye kutikhatsi letisishiyagalolunye, futsi kujikeleta lokulandzelako kusese ngu-2 ku-38. Kuphutsa lokulishumi lokunye kudla emayunithi langu-110; kushaya ekujikeleteni kwelishumi nakunye kuniketa inzuzo lehlantekile lengu-264. Umphumela kuphela kubheja lokumbalwa ngesikhatsi ulindzile

Favored 5lindza kute tinombolo letisihlanu tiphindzeke, bese uyatibhejakujikeleta ngakunye lokulandzelanako kuba nekuphindzeka; kulisondvo lelinakekelwako akubikezeli lutfo

Kujikeleta kwe-ROL / BEHkubheja lokulingana nemali ngelinani linye kujikeleta kulokubovu, lengalingani, phansi bese kulokumnyama, lelinganako, etululuchungechunge lwekubheja lokutimele, ngakunye ngenzuzo yelikhasino lephelele

Luhlelo “lolucinisekisiwe” lwaBartschellyi-Labouchère lesabalalisa kulahlekelwa ngakunye etinombolweni lesetikhona esikhundleni sekukwengeta ekugcineniumugca awusoze wakhula ube mudze; kodvwa emananani labhejwako ayakhula noma kunjalo

Lokunye lokungasilo luhlelo

Imitsetfo yekuma: kunca kusenesikhatsi kutsi ufuna kulahlekelwa noma kuwina malini bese uyahamba. Kuvamile kutsi idayiswe njengengcenye yeluhlelo futsi yingcenye kuphela lekwenta lokutsite, ngobe yehlisa imali yonkhe lebhejiwe. Ayinalo ligama lemuntfu leliphatfwe ngayo, lokufanelekile.

Imibuto

Nguluphi luhlelo lolukhulu kunato tonkhe?

I-Martingale, ngelikhulu leminyaka noma ngetulu. Kuphindzaphindza kabili ngemuva kwekulahlekelwa ngumcondvo wekucala wawo wonkhe umuntfu.

Kukhona yini sati setibalo lesidvumile lesake sesekela luhlelo?

D’Alembert nguye lowasondzela kakhulu, ngengoti. Pascal, Fermat, Huygens, Bernoulli na-Laplace bonkhe bachaza kutsi kungani tehluleka.

Kungani tinhlelo tisadayiswa?

Ngobe tiseshini letinyenti tiyawina, futsi ividiyo yeseshini yekuwina ayibiti kuyenta.

Lokuhlekisako

Emakhulu lamabili eminyaka emagama. Inombolo yinye.

Imitfombo

Thorp, E. O. “Optimal gambling systems for favorable games.” Review of the International Statistical Institute 37(3), 1969.
Thorp, E. O. The Mathematics of Gambling. Gambling Times / Lyle Stuart, 1984.
Doob, J. L. “Note on probability.” Annals of Mathematics 37(2), 1936.
Halmos, P. R. “Invariants of certain stochastic transformations: the mathematical theory of gambling systems.” Duke Mathematical Journal 5(2), 1939.
d’Alembert, J. “Croix ou pile.” Encyclopédie, umculu 4, 1754.
Schwartz, D. G. Roll the Bones: The History of Gambling. Gotham, 2006.
Kavanagh, T. M. Dice, Cards, Wheels: A Different History of French Culture. University of Pennsylvania Press, 2005.
Bollman, M. Mathematics of the Big Four Casino Table Games: Blackjack, Baccarat, Craps, & Roulette. CRC Press, 2021. Sehluko 2, i-roulette.

kubuyeketwe nga-2026-09-28imodeli: yaseYurophu, licandza linyeindlela yekusebenta ↗imitfombo ↗