Kuhamba sinyatselo ngesinyatselo · Sibonelo · emaminithi 8

Sinyatselo ngesinyatselo: Kusihlwa kwe-$100 kulokubovu

Emadola langulikhulu, emathokheni emadola lasihlanu, lokubovu kuko konkhe kujikeleta, kanye nemtsetfo wekuma. Kujikeleta ngekujikeleta.

Imphendvulo lemfisha

Kusihlwa lokulingisiwe etafuleni lelibukhoma: kufika ekujikeleteni lokungu-60 kwa-$5 kulokubovu kusuka kusabelomali sa-$100, ne-stop-loss ya-$50 kanye ne-stop-win ya-$50. I-stop-loss yakucedza ekujikeleteni 36. Iseshini ikhombisa kutsi kugucugucuka kubukeka njani ngesikhatsi sangempela nekutsi kungani umtsetfo wekuma bekusincumo sinye kuphela lesasibalulekile.

sabelomali
$100
linani lelibhejwako
$5 kulokubovu
imitsetfo yekuma
−$50 / +$50
kulahlekelwa lokulindzelekile
$8.11 ekujikeleteni lokungu-60

Luhlelo

Ikhona yini lisu le-roulette lelincono kakhulu nga-$100? Kute lelehlisa tindleko ngesilinganiso. Lesabelomali yimali lesingayilahlekelwa; lesikukhetsako linani lelibhejwako nemitsetfo yekuma. Bheja $5, ku-5% wesabelomali, lokusinika cishe kubheja lokulahlekelwako lokumashumi lamabili esandleni. Umkhawulo wekulahlekelwalisuUmkhawulo wekulahlekelwaLinani lekulahlekelwa lelibekwe kusenesikhatsi, lapho uvala khona iseshini.Fundza konkhe → ku-−$50 nemkhawulo wekuwinalisuUmkhawulo wekuwinaUmgomo wenzuzo lobekwe kusenesikhatsi, lapho uvala khona iseshini.Fundza konkhe → ku-+$50, kunconywe nyalo. Kulahlekelwa lokulindzelekiletibaloKulahlekelwa lokulindzelekileLinani lelilindzelekile liphindzaphindzwe ngemali yonkhe lebhejiwe; linani lesilinganiso lelilahlekako eseshinini noma esikhatsini lesitsite.Fundza konkhe → ekujikeleteni lokungu-60 ngu-60 × $5 / 37 = $8.11. Silindzele kuhamba sine-$92 futsi sibe kunoma kukuphi emkhatsini wa-$20 na-$170 ngelitfubatibaloLitfubaLitfuba lekutsi umphumela wenteke, kusukela ku-0 kuya ku-1 noma ku-0% kuya ku-100%. Inombolo yinye: 1/37 = 2.70%.Fundza konkhe → lelinengcondvo.

Kujikeleta 1–20

B M M B B 0 M B B M B M M M B B M B M B. Tinombolo letibovukubhejaBovuKubheja lokulingana nemali etinombolweni letingu-18 letibovu. NgesiFulentji: rouge.Fundza konkhe → letilishumi, letimnyamakubhejaMnyamaKubheja lokulingana nemali etinombolweni letingu-18 letimnyama. NgesiFulentji: noir.Fundza konkhe → letiligcabhanyiswa, licandzalisondvoLicandzaUmgodzi munye loluhlata longambonjwa kubheja lokulingana nemali, kwelidazini noma kwelikholamu; umtfombo wenzuzo yelikhasino. Kuphindze kutsiwe: licandza linye, 0.Fundza konkhe → linye: +$50 − $45 − $5 = $0. Imali lesele $100. Licandza ekujikeleteni 6 lalibita lithokheniimaliLithokheniLuphawu lolumele linani lelingagucuki, lolubekwa kulithebula lekubheja kute ubheje. Lelinye ligama: check.Fundza konkhe → linye futsi, nga-1/37, lalisheshe kancane. Kute lokungakavami lapha. Silingene ngemuva kwekujikeleta lokumashumi lamabili.

kujikeletalokuphumileumphumela wekubhejaimali lesele
1bovu+$5$105
2–3mnyama, mnyama−$10$95
4–5bovu, bovu+$10$105
6licandza−$5$100
7mnyama−$5$95
8–9bovu, bovu+$10$105
10–14M B M M M−$15$90
15–16bovu, bovu+$10$100
17–20M B M B$0$100
Luchungechunge lolulingisiwe lwelisondvo lelingachemile. Lwakho lutawehluka kuyo yonkhe imininingwane kodvwa hhayi etibalweni.

Kujikeleta 21–36

M M M M M B M M B M M B M M M M. Letimnyama letisihlanu ekucaleni, letilishumi nakutsatfu sekukonkhe: letibovu letintsatfu, letimnyama letilishumi nakutsatfu, +$15 − $65 = −$50. Imali lesele $50. Lena yingcenye lebangela bantfu kutsi bashintje kubheja kwabo, baphindze kabili noma bashintje imibala. Litfuba letimnyama letingu-13 nobe ngetulu ekujikeleteni lokungu-16 lingaphansi kwa-1%; bekutawentekela umuntfu lotsite kusihlwa. Sehlile nga-$50 kusukela ekucaleni, i-stop-loss iyasebenta ekujikeleteni 36, futsi siyasukuma.

Letimnyama letilishumi nakutsatfu ekujikeleteni lokulishumi nesitfupha, futsi i-stop-loss ifinyelelwa ekujikeleteni 36.

Kujikeleta 37–60, singekho

B M B M, bese B B M B 0 B M B B M B B M M B B M B M B. Letibovu letilishumi nakune, letimnyama letiligcabhanyiswa, licandza linye: kube sasala, +$70 − $45 − $5 = +$20 nemali lesele ya-$70 ekujikeleteni 60. Kujikeleta lokumashumi lamatsatfu nesitfupha etafuleni lelibukhoma cishe kutsatsa imizuzu lengu-45. Sahamba na-$50, sehlile nga-$50, nangabe kucatsaniswa na-−$4.86 lokulindzelekile ekujikeleteni lokungu-36. Letibovu letilishumi nakutsatfu, letimnyama letimashumi lamabili nakubili, licandza linye.

Kusihlwa, naletinye letilishumi nakunye lebetingentekaumphumela ngekucatsaniswa nesicalo
+$190$0−$100+$80−$500125250375500kujikeletaumphumela
tiseshini letingu-1,000 × kujikeleta lokungu-500 · lokunsomi p10/p25/p75/p90, lokuluhlata lwesibhakabhaka lolukhanyako phakatsi, emasampula langu-82 lafiphele · hambisa etulu kweshadi kute ubone ema-quantile ekujikeleteni
  • p10 −$100
  • p25 −$100
  • phakatsi −$100
  • p75 +$0
  • p90 +$70
tiseshini letingu-1,000 × kujikeleta lokungu-500 · i-y-axis incunyelwe ku-percentile ye-1–99 (lokwecile −$100 kuya ku-+$300) · kujikeleta lokungu-500 · sisekelo $5 · lokulingana nemali
Lenye yaleti icishe ibe kusihlwa kwetfu. Letinye luhlelo lolufanako ngobunye busuku. I-stop-loss ya-$50 beyitawucedza letimbili tato ngekushesha; i-stop-win ya-$50 beyitawucedza yinye.

Lokwenteka

Sakhokha cishe $5 ngemizuzu lengu-45 ye-roulette, kanye na-$45 webumanyamane. Letibovu letilishumi nakutsatfu ekujikeleteni lokungu-36 kungaphansi kakhulu kwa-17.5 lokulindzelekile, futsi kusilela kwaletibovu letiligcabhanyiswa kunaletimnyama kungu-−$45 ngaphambi kwelicandza. Kusihlwa kwanconywa kugucugucukatibaloKugucugucukaSilinganiso sekutsi imiphumela isabalele kangakanani etungeleta linani lelilindzelekile. Kukhulu ku-straight up, kuncane ekubhejeni lokulingana nemali.Fundza konkhe →; intsengo yanconywa linani lelibhejwako nekujikeleta; i-stop-loss yancuma kutsi kuphela nini. Kusala bekutawubuyisa $20 ngekujikeleta 60, futsi loko akusiso sizatfu sekusala: kubuya bekukugucugucuka nako, futsi kwanjalo nesichungechunge lesimnyama lesafika ngaphambi kwako.

Loko lesingakwentanga

Kushintja linani lelibhejwako ngemuva kwekulahlekelwa (loko kwenyuswa kwelinanilisuKwenyuswa kwelinaniNoma ngumuphi umtsetfo loshintja linani lelibhejwako ngekuya kwemiphumela yangaphambilini. Kwenyuswa kwelinani ngemuva kwekulahlekelwa kulikhuphula ngemuva kwekulahlekelwa, kwenyuswa kwelinani ngemuva kwekuwina kulikhuphula ngemuva kwekuwina.Fundza konkhe →, futsi kwenyusa imali yonkhe lebhejiweimaliImali yonkhe lebhejiweLinani lonkhe lelibhejwe ngesikhatsi seseshini noma ngesikhatsi lesitsite, kubalwa nemali lewiniwe lephindze yabhejwa. Kuphindze kutsiwe: handle, action.Fundza konkhe →). Kushintja umbala ngemuva kweluchungechunge lolumnyama (ematfuba layafana). Kusala ngemuva kwekujikeleta lokungu-60 ngobe “besesicishe salingana” (loko kuphindze kuchumane nge-stop-loss). Kubheja lidazinikubhejaLidazini1–12, 13–24 noma 25–36, kukhokha 2:1.Fundza konkhe → “lebelingakaveli” (inzuzo yelikhasino iyafana, simo siyehluka). Ngamunye walokhu ubetawushintja simo sakusihlwa kodvwa kute lobekatawushintja tindleko tako letilindzelekile.

Imibuto

Kungani $5 hhayi $10?

Emathokheni lamashumi lamabili esandleni esikhundleni salishumi. Kusihlwa kuyaphila; tindleko ekujikeleteni ngakunye tehla ngengcenye.

Litafula laseFulansi belitawusita yini?

Kulahlekelwa lokulindzelekile $4.05 esikhundleni sa-$8.11. Yebo.

Luchungechunge lolumnyama belulusibonakaliso yini?

Salutfo. Letimnyama letilishumi nakutsatfu ekujikeleteni lokulishumi nesitfupha kwenteka cishe kusihlwa kunye kuleti-125.

Lokuhlekisako

Linani lelibhejwako nekujikeleta kubeka intsengo. Lisondvo libeka simo semoya.

Linani lelibhejwako nekujikeleta kubeka intsengo. Lisondvo libeka simo semoya.

Imitfombo

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Sehluko 13, i-roulette.
kubuyeketwe nga-2026-09-28imodeli: yaseYurophu, licandza linyeindlela yekusebenta ↗imitfombo ↗