Emasu ekubheja ku-roulette · Lokwentekako · emaminithi 7

Umkhawulo wekulahlekelwa / umkhawulo wekuwina

Umtsetfo wekuma uyincenye yinye “yeluhlelo” lenemtselela wangempela, ngobe ushintja kutsi ubheja imali lengakanani.

Imphendvulo lemfisha

Kuma kusenesikhatsi kwehlisa imali yonkhe lebhejiwe ngako-ke kulahlekelwa lokulindzelekile. Akudali inzuzo; umkhawulo wekuwina “awuvaleli” lutfo kujikeleta lokulandzelako lobekungeke kukunike noma kukutsatsele.

umtselela ku-EV / $
kute
umtselela emalini yonkhe lebhejiwe
mkhulu
umtselela ekugucugucukeni
mkhulu
ngubani loncumako
wena, kusenesikhatsi

Umkhawulo wekulahlekelwa

Ncuma imali lotimisele kuyilahlekelwa bese uhamba nayiphelile. Kukhawulela simo lesibi kakhulu, kucedza iseshini ngaphambi kwekutsi kucale kujaha kulahlekelwa, futsi kwenta intsengo lelindzelekile yekusihlwa ibaleke: ingeke yendlule umkhawulo wekulahlekelwalisuUmkhawulo wekulahlekelwaLinani lekulahlekelwa lelibekwe kusenesikhatsi, lapho uvala khona iseshini.Fundza konkhe →, ngalokuvamile incane. Kuyo yonkhe imitsetfo kulelisayithi ngulona lolushintja kakhulu loko lokwenteka kumdlali ngalokwetsembekile, ngobe nguwo wodvwa lowucedza iseshini ngalokwetsembekile.

Umkhawulo wekuwina

Ncuma inhloso bese uhamba nawuyifinyelela. Kwenta tiseshini letiwinako tivame kakhulu futsi tibe tincane. Etiseshinini letinyenti silinganiso sisengu-−2.70% wemali yonkhe lebhejiweimaliImali yonkhe lebhejiweLinani lonkhe lelibhejwe ngesikhatsi seseshini noma ngesikhatsi lesitsite, kubalwa nemali lewiniwe lephindze yabhejwa. Kuphindze kutsiwe: handle, action.Fundza konkhe →; usabalalise kabusha kutsi kulahlekelwa kufika nini, awukususanga. Inkhulumo letsi “kuvalela inzuzo” ichaza umuzwa. Kujikeleta lokulandzelako bekuhlala kutawuba ngu-18/37 nobe ukudlala lamuhla kusihlwa noma ngeliviki lelitako.

$10 kulokubovu, $500 sabelomali, kujikeleta lokungu-100 lokukhulu kakhulukute kumaumkhawulo wekulahlekelwa $100umkhawulo wekuwina $100kokubili
tiseshini leticedza usembili≈ 42%≈ 42%≈ 53%≈ 50%
umphumela ngesilinganiso−$27−$22−$20−$16
5% lomubi kakhulu wetiseshini−$190−$100−$190−$100
5% lomuhle kakhulu wetiseshini+$140+$140+$100+$100
kujikeleta lokudlaliwe ngesilinganiso100≈ 85≈ 75≈ 60
Kulingisiwe. Kuma kwehlisa kulahlekelwa ngesilinganiso kuphela ngekwehlisa kujikeleta. Kulahlekelwa ngekujikeleta akushintji.

Kuphikisana lokudzala

Kutsi kuyeka usembili kuyasita yini sekuphikiswane ngako sikhatsi lesidze. Sati semcabango John Venn sabona kutsi umdlali lodvwa longakhetsa kutsi ume nini unenzuzo, inqobo nje nangabe sikweleti singenamkhawulo. Lord Rayleigh waphendvula ngekutsi nangabe inotfo inemkhawulo ngetinhlangotsi tombili inzuzo iyanyamalala, futsi imitsetfo yetibalo yalamuhla iyavumelana: kute umtsetfo wekutsi ume nini loshintja umphumela ngesilinganiso ngeliyunithiimaliLiyunithiLinani lelibhejwako lelisisekelo luhlelo noma umdlali lasebenta ngalo. Kwenyuswa kwelinani kuchazwa ngemayunithi kute kusebente kunoma ngumuphi litafula.Fundza konkhe → ngalinye lelibhejiwe (Epstein, 2013). SiFulansi sinenkhulumo yekushiya litafula usembili, faire Charlemagne. Ichaza umkhuba, hhayi inzuzo.

John Venn wabona kutsi umdlali lokhetsa kutsi ume nini unenzuzo; Lord Rayleigh waphendvula ngekutsi nangabe inotfo inemkhawulo iyanyamalala.

Kungani silinganiso siba ncono

Hhayi ngobe kuma kutfola sikhatsi lesihle sekuhamba. Kodvwa ngobe iseshini lephela ngemuva kwekujikeleta lokungu-60 ibheje emanani langu-60 esikhundleni sa-100 futsi ikhokhe ku-2.70% emadoleni lambalwa. Nobe nguwuphi umtsetfo lowehlisa imali yonkhe lebhejiwe wehlisa kulahlekelwa lokulindzelekiletibaloKulahlekelwa lokulindzelekileLinani lelilindzelekile liphindzaphindzwe ngemali yonkhe lebhejiwe; linani lesilinganiso lelilahlekako eseshinini noma esikhatsini lesitsite.Fundza konkhe → ngalokulingana ncamashi: umkhawulo wekulahlekelwa, umkhawulo wekuwinalisuUmkhawulo wekuwinaUmgomo wenzuzo lobekwe kusenesikhatsi, lapho uvala khona iseshini.Fundza konkhe →, umkhawulo wesikhatsi, linani lekujikeleta noma nje linani lelibhejwako lelincane.

Kukhetsa tinombolo

Umkhawulo wekulahlekelwa wa-20–40% wesabelomali seseshini wenta busuku lobubi bubeketeleleke ngaphandle kwekuba ucinile kangangekutsi kugucugucukatibaloKugucugucukaSilinganiso sekutsi imiphumela isabalele kangakanani etungeleta linani lelilindzelekile. Kukhulu ku-straight up, kuncane ekubhejeni lokulingana nemali.Fundza konkhe → lokujwayelekile kuwucalise ebusuku lobunyenti. Umkhawulo wekuwina wa-20–50% wesabelomali uyafinyeleleka eseshinini lejwayelekile (kubheja lokulingana nemali kufika ku-+$100 kusukela ku-$500 ngalesinye sikhatsi cishe esigamwini setiseshini tekujikeleta lokungu-100) ngaphandle kwekuba yintfo lencane. Tinombolo ngetemuntfu ngamunye; kutiphatsa kwekutibhala phansi akusiko.

Tiseshini letilishumi ta-$10; umkhawulo wekulahlekelwa wa-$100 bewutawucedza letehlako kusenesikhatsiumphumela ngekucatsaniswa nesicalo
+$420$0−$500+$140−$2500125250375500kujikeletaumphumela
tiseshini letingu-1,000 × kujikeleta lokungu-500 · lokunsomi p10/p25/p75/p90, lokuluhlata lwesibhakabhaka lolukhanyako phakatsi, emasampula langu-83 lafiphele · hambisa etulu kweshadi kute ubone ema-quantile ekujikeleteni
  • p10 −$460
  • p25 −$300
  • phakatsi −$140
  • p75 +$0
  • p90 +$140
tiseshini letingu-1,000 × kujikeleta lokungu-500 · i-y-axis incunyelwe ku-percentile ye-1–99 (lokwecile −$500 kuya ku-+$640) · kujikeleta lokungu-500 · sisekelo $10 · lokulingana nemali

Umtsetfo ngemitsetfo

Umtsetfo wekuma usebenta kuphela nangabe uncunywa ngaphambi kweseshini futsi ungabuyeketwa ngesikhatsi sayo. “Kujikeleta kunye nje lokwengetiwe kute ngibuyele ekulinganeni” kungumkhawulo wekulahlekelwa lobuye uxoxiswane ngawo ngumuntfu lobewakhelwe kumvikela. Nawutfola loko kwenteka, yehlisa linani lelibhejwako kunekutsi wenyuse umkhawulo.

Imibuto

Ingabe umkhawulo wekuwina uyalehlula likhasino?

Cha. Wenta kuwina lokuncane kwenteke kakhulu futsi ushiye silinganiso sesikhatsi lesidze ku-−2.70% walokubhejile.

Ingabe umkhawulo wesikhatsi muhle njengemkhawulo wekulahlekelwa?

Wehlisa imali yonkhe lebhejiwe ngendlela lefanako futsi kulula kuwugcina. Sebentisa kokubili.

Kutsiwani nangifinyelela umkhawulo wekuwina kusesekuseni?

Hamba. Ngumtsetfo lowo. Kujikeleta longakudlalanga akubiti lutfo.

Lokuhlekisako

Kuma kwehlisa imali yonkhe lebhejiwe. Ngiko kuphela lokukwentako, futsi kwenele.

Kuma kwehlisa imali yonkhe lebhejiwe. Ngiko kuphela lokukwentako, futsi kwenele.

Imitfombo

  1. RouletteDoc. Kubuka konkhe emasu e-roulette. https://roulettedoc.com/strategy
  2. Roulette77. Kubuka konkhe emasu e-roulette. https://roulette77.us/strategies
  3. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Sehluko 13, i-roulette.
  4. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.
Emasu ekubheja ku-rouletteKuphatsa imali yekubheja ku-rouletteTibalo te-rouletteIngoti yekuphelelwa yimaliTinsita te-rouletteSilingisi seseshini ye-rouletteKuhamba sinyatselo ngesinyatseloSinyatselo ngesinyatselo: Kusihlwa kwe-$100 kulokubovuLokungetiweImicudziswano ye-roulette
kubuyeketwe nga-2026-09-28imodeli: yaseYurophu, licandza linyeindlela yekusebenta ↗imitfombo ↗