Tibalo te-roulette · Kusetjentiswa · emaminithi 7

Budze beseshini nelibito layo

Kutsi imali yekubheja ihlala sikhatsi lesingakanani ngelinani lelitsite lelibhejwako, nekutsi emahora abita malini. Tinombolo labadlali labanyenti abakaze batibale kodvwa labanyenti kufanele batibale.

Imphendvulo lemfisha

Kubheja lokulingana nemali ngelinani linye kuhlala, ngesilinganiso, kujikeleta lokungu-37 kulo lonkhe linani lelibhejwako lelisemalini yekubheja, nanoma hafu yato tonkhe tiseshini iphela masinyane kunaloko; indleko lelindzelekile ngelihora ingulinani lelibhejwako × kujikeleta ngelihora / 37. Kokubili kukuvumela kutsi wati intsengo yebusuku ngaphambi kwekutsi bucale.

sikhatsi sekuphelelwa yimali lokulingana nemali

kujikeleta lokungu-37 × B/s, ngesilinganiso

$500 nga-$10

≈ kujikeleta lokungu-1,364, i-median

indleko ngelihora

s × kujikeleta/h / 37

$10 nga-50/h

$13.51 ngelihora

Imali yekubheja ihlala sikhatsi lesingakanani

Nangabe imali yekubhejaimaliImali yekubhejaImali yonkhe lebekelwe kudlala. Kuphatsa imali yekubheja kusho kunquma kutsi ungafaka engcupheni lengakanani kuko kubheja ngakunye nakuyo iseshini ngayinye.Fundza konkhe → ingu-B futsi linani lelibhejwako lekulingana nemali ngu-s, imali yekubheja iyehla nga-s/37 ekujikeleteni ngakunye ngesilinganiso futsi igucugucuka cishe nga-s ekujikeleteni ngakunye kuto tonkhe tinhlangotsi. Kwehla kodvwa kubeka silinganiso: imali yekubheja ihlala kujikeleta lokungu-37 × B/s, ngobe sikhatsi lesidzingekako kute ulahlekelwe ngu-B nga-s/37 ekujikeleteni. Kugucugucuka kwenta budze bungalingani. Letinye tiseshini tiphela ekucaleni ngenca yeluchungechunge lolubi, letimbalwa tihlala sikhatsi lesidze kakhulu, futsi i-median, budze lobungafinyelelwa ngihafu yato tonkhe tiseshini, ingaphansi kwesilinganiso. Imali yekubheja ya-$500 nga-$10 (B/s = 50) ihlala kujikeleta lokungu-1,850 ngesilinganiso kanye nalokungu-1,364 nge-median, cishe emahora langu-27 etafuleni lelibukhoma. Nga-$50 (B/s = 10) i-median kujikeleta lokungu-136, ngaphansi kwemahora lamatsatfu.

imali yekubhejalinani lelibhejwakoB/si-median yekujikeleta kuze kuphelelwe yimali (lokulingana nemali)nga-50 kujikeleta/hkujikeleta ngesilinganiso kuze kuphelelwe yimali

$500$51003,134≈ 63 h3,700

$500$10501,364≈ 27 h1,850

$500$2520394≈ 8 h740

$500$5010136≈ emahora la-2 nemaminithi la-45370

$500$100541≈ emaminithi la-50185

$100$1010136≈ emahora la-2 nemaminithi la-45370

Ncamashi, kubheja ngelinani linye kulokubovu esondvweni laseYurophu ngaphandle kwemtsetfo wekuma. Kubheja nge-straight up kucedza imali masinyane kuyo yonkhe imigca ngenca yekugucugucuka lokukhulu.

Imali yekubheja lefanako, linani lelibhejwako lelifanako: letinye tiseshini tiphela ekucaleni, letimbalwa tihlala sikhatsi lesidze kakhulu, futsi i-median ingaphansi kwesilinganiso.

Emahora abita malini

Kulahlekelwa lokulindzelekiletibaloKulahlekelwa lokulindzelekileLinani lelilindzelekile liphindzaphindzwe ngemali yonkhe lebhejiwe; linani lesilinganiso lelilahlekako eseshinini noma esikhatsini lesitsite.Fundza konkhe → ngelihora = linani lelibhejwako × kujikeleta ngelihora / 37. Tinombolo letimbili lotilawulako ngulinani lelibhejwako nesivinini. Umbheji wa-$10 lodlala kujikeleta lokungu-50 ngelihora ukhokha $13.51 ngelihora etafuleni laseYurophu, $6.76 etafuleni laseFulansi, $27 etafuleni lelisheshako. Ncuma kutsi lihora le-roulette linelinani lelingakanani kuwe, bese linani lelibhejwako liyalandzela.

Kulahlekelwa lokulindzelekile ngelihora nga-$10 ekujikeleteni$ ngelihora

Litafula lelikhasino · 40/h

$10.81

Litafula lelibukhoma · 55/h

$14.86

Lelibukhoma lelisheshako · 100/h

$27.03

I-RNG · 200/h

$54.05

$ ngelihora

027.03$54.05

linani lelibhejwako × kujikeleta ngelihora / 37. Sivinini yintfo lenemtselela lomkhulu kakhulu kuloko lihora lelikubita kona.

I-roulette yaseFulansi

Kukuhlanganisa

Umdlali lone-$500 lofuna busuku bemahora lamane etafuleni lelibukhoma lekujikeleta lokungu-50 (kujikeleta lokungu-200) futsi longafuni kuphelelwa yimali akufanele abheje ngetulu kwacishe $25 (B/s = 20, i-median yekuphelelwa yimali kujikeleta lokungu-394). Indleko lelindzelekile yalobo busuku ingu-200 × $25 / 37 = $135. Nangabe $135 mnyenti kakhulu, linani lelibhejwako liyehla futsi busuku buba nengoti lencane futsi bushibhe ngesikhatsi sinye: nga-$10, indleko lelindzelekile $54 futsi kuphelelwa yimali ngaphambi kwekujikeleta lokungu-200 akuvamile.

Busuku lobulishumi nakubili bemahora lamane, $500 nga-$25 kulokubovuumphumela ngekucatsaniswa nesicalo

tiseshini letingu-1,000 × kujikeleta lokungu-500 · lokunsomi p10/p25/p75/p90, lokuluhlata lwesibhakabhaka lolukhanyako phakatsi, emasampula langu-82 lafiphele · hambisa etulu kweshadi kute ubone ema-quantile ekujikeleteni

p10 −$500
p25 −$500
phakatsi −$500
p75 −$50
p90 +$350

tiseshini letingu-1,000 × kujikeleta lokungu-500 · i-y-axis incunyelwe ku-percentile ye-1–99 (lokwecile −$500 kuya ku-+$1,700) · kujikeleta lokungu-500 · sisekelo $25 · lokulingana nemali

Kuphela lokulindzelekile: −$135. Imigca leminyenti iyasinda; cishe busuku bunye kulokune bufika elicandzeni. Nga-$10 cishe bunye ku-700 bebungafika.

Tiseshini te-straight up

Ku-straight upkubhejaI-straight upInombolo yinye, kukhokha 35:1.Fundza konkhe → linani lelibhejwako kufanele libe lincane kute iseshini ibe nebudze lobufanako: σ ngeliyunithiimaliLiyunithiLinani lelibhejwako lelisisekelo luhlelo noma umdlali lasebenta ngalo. Kwenyuswa kwelinani kuchazwa ngemayunithi kute kusebente kunoma ngumuphi litafula.Fundza konkhe → ingu-5.84 nangabe icatsaniswa nacishe 1 kulokubovukubhejaBovuKubheja lokulingana nemali etinombolweni letingu-18 letibovu. NgesiFulentji: rouge.Fundza konkhe →, ngako imali yekubheja kufanele imboze tikhatsi letidze tekungawini. I-median yekujikeleta lokungu-200 idzinga B/s yacishe 13 kulokubovu nacishe 56 enombolweni yinye, cishe emanani labhejwako laphindvwe kane. Imali yekubheja ya-$500 lehlala kujikeleta lokungu-200 kwe-straight up nge-median idzinga linani lelibhejwako lelicishe libe ngu-$9. Badlali lababheja $25 nge-straight up kusuka ku-$500 batsenga busuku lobufishane lobunemsindvo: kuphutsa kwemashumi lamabili kulandzelana kubucedza, futsi loko kwenteka kanyenti kunekutsi kungenteki.

Luhlu lwetintsengo lwekwetsembeka

I-roulette ibita linani lelibhejwako × kujikeleta / 37. Konkhe lokunye, luhlelo, inombolo yenhlanhla, kuvikela, kuncuma simo sebusuku hhayi intsengo yabo. Umdlali lobala intsengo kucala futsi akhetse linani lelibhejwako lajabulela kulikhokha wentile kuphela incenye yelisu lelisebentako.

Lifomula

E[indleko ngelihora] = s × kujikeleta/h / 37

kujikeleta ngesilinganiso kuze kuphelelwe yimali = 37 × B/s ekubhejeni lokulingana nemali

i-straight up: phindzaphindza B/s ledzingekako nga-≈ 4

Imibuto

Ikhona yini ifomula lelula ye-median?

Ayikho lenembile. Nangabe imali yekubheja incane, kugucugucuka kuyabusa futsi i-median ikhula cishe njenga-(B/s)², njengasekuphonseni luhlavu lwemali lolungachemile. Nangabe inkhulu, inzuzo yelikhasino iyabusa futsi i-median isondzela esilinganisweni, 37 × B/s. Cishe kumanani labhejwako langu-20 umtsetfo we-(B/s)² ngenhlanhla uyafana ne-median lenembile, kujikeleta lokungu-394; ngaphansi kwaloko iba fishane futsi ngetulu kwaloko iba yinde.

Umkhawulo wekulahlekelwa uyayigucula yini indleko?

Ubeka umkhawulo esimeni lesibi kakhulu futsi wenta iseshini ibe fishane, loku kunciphisa kulahlekelwa lokulindzelekile ngekulingana nekujikeleta lokungakadlalwa.

Kutsiwani nge-la partage?

Ihlukanisa indleko ngelihora ngehafu ekubhejeni lokulingana nemalikubhejaKubheja lokulingana nemaliLokubovu/lokumnyama, lengalingani/lelinganako, phansi/etulu. Tinombolo letingu-18, kukhokha 1:1.Fundza konkhe → futsi iphindza kabili sikhatsi sekuphelelwa yimali ngesilinganiso, sibe kujikeleta lokungu-74 × B/s.

Bumnandi betibalo

Zama loku ngekwakho kucala. Sixazululo ngasinye sifihliwe; sivule nawukulungele.

Ubheja $500 kulokubovukubhejaBovuKubheja lokulingana nemali etinombolweni letingu-18 letibovu. NgesiFulentji: rouge.Fundza konkhe →, $10 ngesikhatsi, elisondvweni laseYurophu, ngaphandle kwemtsetfo wekuma. Ngesilinganiso, imali yekubhejaimaliImali yekubhejaImali yonkhe lebekelwe kudlala. Kuphatsa imali yekubheja kusho kunquma kutsi ungafaka engcupheni lengakanani kuko kubheja ngakunye nakuyo iseshini ngayinye.Fundza konkhe → ihlala kujikeleta lokungakhi?
Khombisa sixazululo
Imphendvulo Kujikeleta lokungu-1,850: kujikeleta lokungu-37 kulinani ngalinye kulamanani langu-50 labhejwako.
Kujikeleta ngakunye kubita, ngesilinganiso, 1/37 welinani lelibhejwako: $10/37, cishe emasenti langu-27. Imali yekubheja inemanani langu-50 labhejwako, futsi kulahlekelwa emanani langu-50 nga-1/37 welinani ngekujikeleta kutsatsa kujikeleta lokungu-50 × 37 = 1,850.
Kugucugucuka akusishintji lesilinganiso, ngobe iseshini ingaphela kuphela nangabe imali iphelile futsi kujikeleta ngakunye ngaphambi kwaloko kubita emasenti lafanako langu-27 ngesilinganiso. Kushintja kusabalala kwemiphumela: ingcenye yato tonkhe tiseshini seyiphelile ngekujikeleta kwe-1,364, kantsi cishe yinye kuletingamashumi lamabili yendlula 5,000, loko lokukhuphula silinganiso.
Epstein (2013) unika umtsetfo lojwayelekile: ngekumelana nelikhasino lelingaphelelwa yimali, imali yekubheja lenemanani langu-z labhejwako ihlala z kwehlukaniswe ngenzuzo yelikhasino ngekujikeleta. Elisondvweni laseMelika, lapho kubheja lokulingana nemali kulahlekelwa 1/19 welinani ngekujikeleta, lona $500 lofanako uhlala kujikeleta lokungu-950 ngesilinganiso.

Lokuhlekisako

$Linani lelibhejwako × kujikeleta / 37. Yati intsengo yebusuku ngaphambi kwekutsi bucale.$

Linani lelibhejwako × kujikeleta / 37. Yati intsengo yebusuku ngaphambi kwekutsi bucale.

Imitfombo

Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1. Wiley, luhlelo lwesi-3, 1968. Kuphelelwa yimali kwemgembuli, sehluko XIV.
Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Sehluko 13, i-roulette.
Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.

kubuyeketwe nga-2026-09-28imodeli: yaseYurophu, licandza linyeindlela yekusebenta ↗imitfombo ↗