Lokungetiwe · Imfundvo · emaminithi 7

I-roulette nemfundvo yetibalo

Q: Ingabe kufanele bafundzi besikolo?

Nemali yekudlala kanye nekucacisa kutsi inzuzo yelikhasino isifundvo, tinhlelo letinyenti tetifundvo setivele tisebentisa emadayisi nemalotho; i-roulette ilinhlobo lecebile yaloko lokufanako.

Lisondvo le-roulette lenta ematfuba kutsi kube lula kuwacabanga. Nayi indlela yekulisebentisa esifundvweni ngaphandle kwekukhutsata kugembula.

Imphendvulo lemfisha

Imiphumela lengemashumi lamatsatfu nesikhombisa lenematfuba lalinganako, tinkhokhelo letibekiwe, kutimela, kulindzela lokubi lokwatiwako kanye nemlandvo lomudze webantfu labente emaphutsa. I-roulette ikhombisa kulindzela, kugucugucukatibaloKugucugucukaSilinganiso sekutsi imiphumela isabalele kangakanani etungeleta linani lelilindzelekile. Kukhulu ku-straight up, kuncane ekubhejeni lokulingana nemali.Fundza konkhe →, umtsetfo wetinombolo letinkhulutibaloUmtsetfo wetinombolo letinkhuluSilinganiso semiphumela letimele sisondzela linani lelilindzelekile njengoba linani lekuzama likhula.Fundza konkhe →, liphutsa lemgembuli, kuhlola imibono kanye nenkinga yelilanga lekutalwa kancono kunemali yensimbi noma emadayisi.

sikhala semiphumela

37, ayalingana

imicondvo lefundziswako

≥ 8

tinsita kulelisayithi

mahhala, ku-browser

sifundvo sekucala kwako konkhe

EV = −1/37, njalo

Kungani i-roulette

Imali yensimbi inemiphumela lemibili nedayisi linesitfupha; kokubili kuncane kakhulu kutsi kukhombise inkinga yelilanga lekutalwatibaloInkinga yelilanga lekutalwaKutsi kudzingeka bantfu labangakhi kute kube nekwenteka kutsi lababili babelane ngelilanga lekutalwa, noma kujikeleta lokungakhi kute inombolo kungenteka iphindze iphume. Elisondvweni lelinemigodzi lengu-37, kujikeleta lokungu-8 kwanele kutsi litfuba libe ngetulu kwesigamu.Fundza konkhe → noma kuhlolwa kwe-chi-squarelilabhorethriKuhlolwa kwe-chi-squareKuhlolwa kwetibalo lokucatsanisa kuphuma lokubonwe emgodzini ngamunye na-n/37 lokulindzelekile. Kusetjentiswa kunquma kutsi lisondvo liyachema yini.Fundza konkhe → ngendlela lehehako. Liphakethe lemakhadi linenkhumbulo. I-roulette inemiphumela lengu-37 lenematfuba lalinganako, tinkhokheloimaliInkhokheloLoko lokubuyiswa kubheja lokuwinile, lokushiwo ngekutsi “X ku-1” ngetulu kwelinani lelibhejiwe lelibuyiswako.Fundza konkhe → letibekiwe letenta kulindzela kube kubala kwemugca munye, kutimela lokwakhiwe ngekwesakhiwo, kanye nenzuzo yelikhasino lencane ngekwenele kutsi icashe eseshinini futsi lenkhulu ngekwenele kutsi ibuse umnyaka wonkhe. Futsi inemakhulu eminyaka lamabili emaphutsa lafakwe ebufakazini longawahlatiya.

Imali yensimbi, lidayisi nemakhadi kuniketa indzawo imiphumela ye-roulette lengu-37 lenematfuba lalinganako.

Kuhlolwa kwe-chi-square

Kulandzelana kwetifundvo

sifundvoumcondvosibonelo se-rouletteinsita kulelisayithi

1ematfuba njengekubalap(kubheja) = n/37Ikhaliketha yematfuba e-roulette

2kulindzelaEV = (n/37)(36/n − 1) − (37 − n)/37 = −1/37Umakhi wekubheja

3kutimela nemtsetfo wekuphindzaphindza(18/37)² kulokubovu lokubiliEmatfuba eluchungechunge ku-roulette

4lokuphambene kanye na “kanye nobe kunjani”1 − (36/37)³⁷ = 63.7%Ematfuba ku-roulette

5kugucugucuka nekuphambuka lokujwayelekileσ = 5.84 (i-straight up) kumelana na-1.00 (lokubovu), i-EV lefanakoKugucugucuka

6umtsetfo wetinombolo letinkhulu (naloko longakusho)silinganiso siyasondzela; inani lonkhe liyahlukanaKuhlangana ngekuhamba kwesikhatsi

7liphutsa lemgembulilokumnyama lokungu-26, 1913Liphutsa lemgembuli

8kuhamba lokungahlelekile nekuphelelwa yimaliifomula yekuphelelwa yimali kwemgembuliIkhaliketha yengoti yekuphelelwa yimali

9kuhlola imibonoi-chi-square emigodzini lengu-37Sihlatiyi sekuchema kwelisondvo le-roulette

10inkinga yelilanga lekutalwakuphindza ngekhatsi kwekujikeleta lokungu-8, 56%Inkinga: Lisondvo lelilanga lekutalwa

11silingiso se-Monte Carlotiseshini letingu-10,000 ngesekhondi linyeSilingisi selisu le-roulette

12kungani tinhlelo tehlulekakuchubeka ngemugca kwekulindzelaUngayehlula yini i-roulette?

Kufundzisa ngaphandle kwekufundzisa kugembula

Sebentisa imali yekudlala kanye neMdlalo wekuzama, longenamali yangempela lebhejwako. Cala ngelinani lelilindzelekiletibaloLinani lelilindzelekileUmphumela wesilinganiso ngekubheja ngakunye ngekuhamba kwesikhatsi lesidze. −1/37 yelinani lelibhejiwe kuko konkhe kubheja lokujwayelekile kwaseYurophu.Fundza konkhe → bese uchubeka ubuyela kulo: konkhe kuticeceshisa kugcina ngekutsi “futsi linani lelilindzelekile ngu-−1/37 welinani lelibhejwako”. Sebentisa tinhlelo njengetibonelo letiphikisako, hhayi njengetindlela: kuticeceshisa kutfola liphutsa, futsi silingisi senta liphutsa libonakale ngemasekhondi. Faka ekhatsi umlandvo webantfu labalahlekelwa. Sifundvo kutsi tibalo tiyawina, lokuphambene nesikhangiso.

Kuticeceshisa lokusebentako

Tjela bafundzi kutsi babikezele kutsi kutawutsatsa kujikeleta lokungakanani kuze kuphindvwe inombolo, bese badlala Umdlalo wekuzama kalishumi (inkinga yelilanga lekutalwa). Tjela bona kutsi babhale “luhlelo” kusihleli selisu bese badlala tiseshini letingu-10,000 (kuchubeka ngemugca kwekulindzela). Tjela bona kutsi babale litfubatibaloLitfubaLitfuba lekutsi umphumela wenteke, kusukela ku-0 kuya ku-1 noma ku-0% kuya ku-100%. Inombolo yinye: 1/37 = 2.70%.Fundza konkhe → leluchungechunge lwa-1913 bese babala lelekutsi luchungechunge lwenteke kuphi nakuphi eminyakeni lengemashumi lasihlanu e-Monte Carlo (umehluko emkhatsini wesehlakalo lesitsite nanoma ngusiphi sehlakalo). Tjela bona kutsi batfole umgodzitinsitaUmgodziLesinye setikhala letingu-37 letinetinombolo ku-rotor. Kuphindze kutsiwe: slot, cup.Fundza konkhe → “lochemile” emlandvweni wekujikeleta lokulinganako bese bahlanganisa idatha (kucatsanisa lokunyenti).

Kutsi umcondvo webafundzi wenta liphutsa ngekushesha kangakanani (kucagela kweklasi lokuvamile kumelana neliciniso)

kujikeleta kuze kuphindvwe: kucagela ≈ 19, liciniso 8

8 kumelana na-19

p(≥1 kushaya ekujikeleteni lokungu-37): kucagela 100%, liciniso 63.7%

63.7% kumelana na-100%

p(lokubovu ngemuva kwalokubovu lokungu-10): kucagela “kuncane”, liciniso 48.65%

48.65%

tiseshini letinenzuzo, i-Martingale: kucagela ≈ 95%, liciniso ≈ 78%

78% kumelana na-95%

umphumela lomaphakatsi, i-Martingale: kucagela “kuhle”, liciniso kubi

kubi

050100

Sikhala ngasinye sisifundvo. Sekugcina siyisifundvo sonkhe.

Kufundza umlandvo wekujikeleta loshicilelwe Kubaluleka ngekwetibalo

Kungani kuhlala engcondvweni

Bafundzi bayakukhumbula lokumnyamakubhejaMnyamaKubheja lokulingana nemali etinombolweni letingu-18 letimnyama. NgesiFulentji: noir.Fundza konkhe → lokungu-26, lisondvo laJagger, kanye nesikhatsi silingisi lesakhombisa luhlelo lwabo lulahlekelwa. Ematfuba labhalwe ngemcabango ayakhohlwa ngesikhatsi sekuhlolwa; lisondvo alikhohlwa. Umugca wekuziphatsa ucacile: fundzisa tibalo letenta umdlalo ube kubheja lokubi, usebentisa umdlalo, futsi bafundzi labatawugembula kamuva bona batawube sebalati libito.

Badlali be-roulette labadvumile

Imibuto

Ingabe kufanele bafundzi besikolo?

Nemali yekudlala kanye nekucacisa kutsi inzuzo yelikhasinotibaloInzuzo yelikhasinoIncenye yelinani ngalinye lelibhejiwe leligcinwa likhasino ngesilinganiso: 2.70% ku-roulette yaseYurophu.Fundza konkhe → isifundvo, tinhlelo letinyenti tetifundvo setivele tisebentisa emadayisi nemalotho; i-roulette ilinhlobo lecebile yaloko lokufanako.

Nguliphi likhasi lekufanele thishela acale ngalo?

Inzuzo yelikhasino ku-roulette, bese Umdlalo wekuzama, bese Silingisi selisu le-roulette.

Ingabe Umdlalo wekuzama uphephile eklasini?

Awunamali yangempela, awunawo ema-akhawunti futsi awunato tinchumanisi tebacondzisi.

Lokuhlekisako

Imiphumela lengemashumi lamatsatfu nesikhombisa, inzuzo yelikhasino yinye, emakhulu eminyaka lamabili emaphutsa longafundza kuwo.

Imitfombo

Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1. Wiley, 3rd ed., 1968. Kuphelelwa yimali kwemgembuli, sehluko XIV.
Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Sehluko 13, i-roulette.

kubuyeketwe nga-2026-09-28imodeli: yaseYurophu, licandza linyeindlela yekusebenta ↗imitfombo ↗