Tinganekwane · Tinganekwane · emaminithi 6

Inganekwane: Tinombolo kufanele tiphume

“Lishumi nesikhombisa alikaveli ekujikeleteni lokungu-150. Sikhatsi salo sesifikile.” Akunjalo.

Imphendvulo lemfisha

Inombolo lengakaveli sikhatsi lesidze inelitfuba lelifanako ncamashi ekujikeleteni lokulandzelako njengenoma nguyiphi lenye: 1/37. Inkolelo yekutsi “sikhatsi sayo sesifikile” liphutsa lemgembuli lelinelibhodi lemiphumela lelinamatsiselwe kulo.

p(17 lelandzelako)

1/37, njalo

p(kute 17 ekujikeleteni lokungu-150)

1.7%

kutsi loko kwenteka kangakanani kulenye indzawo

ngaso sonkhe sikhatsi

sincumo

inganekwane

Lokushiwoko

Emakhasino akhombisa imiphumela lengu-20 kuya ku-500 yekugcina futsi avame kuphawula tinombolo “letibandako” letingakashayi sikhatsi lesitsite. Badlali bafundza libhodi, babone kutsi 17 ayikabikhona ekujikeleteni lokungu-150, bese bayayibheja ngobe sikhatsi sayo kufanele sesifikile. Kucabanga kutsi ekuhambeni kwesikhatsi lesidze yonkhe inombolo ishaya ku-1/37 wetikhatsi, ngako inombolo lesemuva kufanele ibuyise.

Kungani kungasilo liciniso

Kujikeleta kutimele. LibholatinsitaLibholaLibhola lelincane leliphoswa emzileni lihamba ngakulolunye luhlangotsi kune-rotor. Emabhola alamuhla ayi-ivorine noma i-Teflon, 18–21 mm.Fundza konkhe → alati kutsi 17 ayikabikhona, futsi umgodzitinsitaUmgodziLesinye setikhala letingu-37 letinetinombolo ku-rotor. Kuphindze kutsiwe: slot, cup.Fundza konkhe → usebukhulu lobufanako nebewunabo. Silinganiso sesikhatsi lesidze siyasondzela ngekuhlanjululwa, hhayi ngekulungiswa: ngemuva kwekujikeleta lokunye lokungu-10,000 sikhala sekujikeleta lokungu-150 liphutsa lekuyekelela nje, hhayi ngobe 17 yashaya kanyenti kunalokujwayelekile kodvwa ngobe sampula yakhula. Umtsetfo wetinombolo letinkhulutibaloUmtsetfo wetinombolo letinkhuluSilinganiso semiphumela letimele sisondzela linani lelilindzelekile njengoba linani lekuzama likhula.Fundza konkhe → awudzingi kutsi nanoma nguyiphi inombolo ibuyise; udzinga kuphela kutsi kugucuka lokwendlulile kube kuncane nangabe kucatsaniswa nalokuphelele.

Kutsi inombolo letsite ingabikho kangakanani ekujikeleteni lokungenani lokungu-k%

kujikeleta lokungu-37

36.3%

kujikeleta lokungu-74

13.2%

kujikeleta lokungu-100

6.5%

kujikeleta lokungu-150

1.7%

kujikeleta lokungu-200

0.4%

018.1536.3%

(36/37)ᵏ. Netinombolo letingu-37 kulo lonkhe lisondvo kulo lonkhe likhasino, kungabikho kwekujikeleta lokungu-150 kwenteka kulenye indzawo nyalo nje.

Kungani kuva shengatsi kulungile

Ngobe kuto tonkhe letinye tincenye temphilo, kungabikho kubikezela kufika: libhasi lelingakefiki imizuzu lemashumi lamabili linelitfuba lelikhulu lekufika kulemihlanu lelandzelako. Loko kungobe emabhasi anelitheyibhili. I-roulette ayinalo litheyibhili; inelitfubatibaloLitfubaLitfuba lekutsi umphumela wenteke, kusukela ku-0 kuya ku-1 noma ku-0% kuya ku-100%. Inombolo yinye: 1/37 = 2.70%.Fundza konkhe →, futsi litfuba akusilo licuphe. Lomuva ulungile emhlabeni lonkhe kodvwa awulungi elisondvweni.

Kuhlola

Bhala tinombolo “letibandako” letilikhulu kumabhodi emiphumela bese ubheja ngayinye ekujikeleteni lokungu-37 lokulandzelako. Litfuba lekushaya litawuba ngu-1/37 ekujikeleteni ngakunye, lokufanako nanoma ngayiphi inombolo lekhetfwe ngekungahleleki, kungeta noma kususa umsindvo. Libhodi lemiphumela kuchaza kwesikhatsi lesendlulile. Alinalutfo lolubikezelako elisondvweni lelingachemile, futsi elisondvweni lelichemilelilabhorethriLisondvo lelichemileLisondvo lapho tici talo temtimba tenta leminye imigodzi ibe nematfuba langetulu kwa-1/37. Kuyindlalane, kutfolakala kuphela ngekujikeleta lokutinkhulungwane lokubhaliwe.Fundza konkhe → (lelingadzinga tinkhulungwane tekujikeleta kuze kufakazelwe) tinombolo leshisakoinganekwaneInombolo leshisakoInombolo lesandza kuphuma kanyenti kunalokulindzelekile. Elisondvweni lelingachemile ayibikeli lutfo.Fundza konkhe →, hhayi letibandako, bekungaba ngito lekufanele tibhejwe.

Bukhulu besampula Imiphumela ye-roulette: Kufundza libhodi

Inganekwane lephambene

“Lishumi nesikhombisa liyashisa, libheje” liphutsa lelifanako luphawu luphendvukile. Tinkolelo totimbili tinelinani lelilindzelekiletibaloLinani lelilindzelekileUmphumela wesilinganiso ngekubheja ngakunye ngekuhamba kwesikhatsi lesidze. −1/37 yelinani lelibhejiwe kuko konkhe kubheja lokujwayelekile kwaseYurophu.Fundza konkhe → lelifanako nekuvala emehlo ukhombe: −2.70% welinani lelibhejwako. Emdlalweni wekuzama, gijimisa umlandvo bese ubala kutsi inombolo lebandakoinganekwaneInombolo lebandakoInombolo lengakaphumi kujikeleta lokunyenti. Elisondvweni lelingachemile ayiniki lwati ngekujikeleta lokutako.Fundza konkhe → ishaya kangakanani ekujikeleteni lokungu-37 lokulandzelako; imphendvulo icishe ibe ngu-63.7%, ncamashi njengayo nanoma nguyiphi lenye inombolo.

Imibuto

Ingabe likhasino likhombisa tinombolo letibandako kuze likhohlise badlali?

Liyatikhombisa ngobe badlali bayacela. Libhodi linembile futsi alisiti lutfo.

Kutsiwani ngenombolo lengakashayi ekujikeleteni lokungu-500?

(36/37)⁵⁰⁰ ≈ 0.0001%: akuvamile, futsi kusengu-1/37 ekujikeleteni lokulandzelako. Nangabe kuchubeka kwenteka elisondvweni linye, loko kungumbuto wekuchema, futsi imphendvulo bekungaba kuyigwema lenombolo.

Ikhona yini inombolo lesikhatsi sayo lesike sifike?

Cha.

Lokuhlekisako

Litfuba akusilo licuphe.

Imitfombo

Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1. Wiley, 3rd ed., 1968. Kuwa kwemgembuli, sehluko XIV.
Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Sehluko 13, i-roulette.

kubuyeketwe nga-2026-09-28imodeli: yaseYurophu, licandza linyeindlela yekusebenta ↗imitfombo ↗