Sinyatselo ngesinyatselo: Kukhuphuka kwe-Fibonacci
Emanani labhejwako langu-1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13 kulokumnyamakubhejaMnyamaKubheja lokulingana nemali etinombolweni letingu-18 letimnyama. NgesiFulentji: noir.Fundza konkhe →, ubuyela emuva tinyatselo letimbili ngemuva kwekuwina. I-Martingale lehamba kancane, nekutsi liwa layo lifika njani.
Iseshini lelingisiwe ye-Fibonacci yekujikeleta lokungu-90 nga-$5 liyunithi ngalinye. Imijikeleto lemashumi lamabili yacedvwa nga-$5 ngamunye, luchungechunge lolubi lunye lwafika elilungeni lesiligcabhanyiswa (linani lelibhejwako la-$170) lolwashiya iseshini yehlile nga-$340. Kumnene kunekuphindza kabili kuze kube akusenjalo.
Hamba neluchungechunge
Kulahlekelwa kuhambisa sinyatselo sinye ngesekudla. Kuwina kubuyisela emuva tinyatselo letimbili.
Emanani labhejwako nemiphumela akumayunithi ekubheja lokusisekelo.
Luhlelo
Bheja inombolo yekucala ye-FibonaccilisuFibonacciKwenyuswa kwelinani lokulandzela lolandzelano 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13…: sinyatselo sinye phambili ngemuva kwekulahlekelwa, tinyatselo letimbili emuva ngemuva kwekuwina.Fundza konkhe →, $5. Ngemuva kwekulahlekelwa, yiya sinyatselo sinye ngesekudla eluchungechungeni. Ngemuva kwekuwina, buyela tinyatselo letimbili ngesencele. Umjikeleto uyacedvwa nasibuyele ekucaleni futsi singetulu ngeliyunithiimaliLiyunithiLinani lelibhejwako lelisisekelo luhlelo noma umdlali lasebenta ngalo. Kwenyuswa kwelinani kuchazwa ngemayunithi kute kusebente kunoma ngumuphi litafula.Fundza konkhe → linye. Nangabe kucatsaniswa ne-MartingalelisuMartingaleKwenyuswa kwelinani lokuphindza kubheja kabili ngemuva kwekulahlekelwa ngakunye. Buka sigaba semasu kute ubone kutsi kwentani nekutsi akwenti ini.Fundza konkhe → linani lelibhejwako likhula nga-×1.6 esikhundleni sa-×2, ngako liwa likhashane futsi kubuyela etulu kuhamba kancane: kuwina akuwucedzi umjikeleto, kubuyisela emuva kuphela.
Kujikeleta 1–40
Imijikeleto lelishumi nakunye yacedvwa, lomudze kakhulu wafika elilungeni lesihlanu ($25). Umjikeleto ngamunye locedvwako uletsa $5 ncamashi; kubalwa kwemali kuyajabulisa futsi emanani labhejwako ahlala ancane. Umphumela +$55. Kuva shengatsi yi-Martingale lengenako kwesaba.
Kujikeleta 41–70
Leminye imijikeleto lesihlanu iyacedvwa ngekujikeleta 60 (+$25). Bese kufika umjikeleto longacedvwa. L L L L L L L W L L: emanani labhejwako 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65 (kulahlekelwa kasikhombisa, −$165), kuwina nga-$105 (+$105, buyela emuva tinyatselo letimbili ku-$40), bese kulahlekelwa kabili nga-$40 na-$65. Nyalo sisesilungeni lesiphohlongo, $105, sine-−$165 emjikeletweni, futsi kulahlekelwa lokulandzelako bekutasisa ku-$170 nangabe kucatsaniswa nemkhawulo welitafulalitafulaUmkhawulo welitafulaLinani lelincane nalelikhulu kakhulu lekubheja lelivunyelwe. Umkhawulo lophakeme ngiwo lomisa kwenyuswa kwelinani lokuphindza kabili.Fundza konkhe → wa-$200. Umphumela walengcenye −$140.
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- phakatsi −$500
- p75 +$390
- p90 +$480
Kujikeleta 71–90
L L: $105 bese $170 kuyalahleka, futsi umjikeleto use-−$440. Linani lelibhejwako lelilandzelako belitawuba ngu-$275, ngetulu kwemkhawulo, ngako ekujikeleteni 72 siyawuyekela umjikeleto sicale kabusha ku-$5. Lelo liwa. Kujikeleta lokulishumi nesiphohlongo lokusele kucedza leminye imijikeleto lemine. Ekugcineni −$340; liphuzu leliphansi lemali yekubhejaimaliImali yekubhejaImali yonkhe lebekelwe kudlala. Kuphatsa imali yekubheja kusho kunquma kutsi ungafaka engcupheni lengakanani kuko kubheja ngakunye nakuyo iseshini ngayinye.Fundza konkhe → bekungu-−$360.
Tibalo
Imali yonkhe lebhejiwe icishe ibe ngu-$1,200 nangabe kucatsaniswa na-$450 ngelinani linye. Kulahlekelwa lokulindzelekiletibaloKulahlekelwa lokulindzelekileLinani lelilindzelekile liphindzaphindzwe ngemali yonkhe lebhejiwe; linani lesilinganiso lelilahlekako eseshinini noma esikhatsini lesitsite.Fundza konkhe → ku-$1,200 ngu-$32; lokwenteke ngempela −$340 kucishe kube kuphambuka lokujwayelekiletibaloKuphambuka lokujwayelekileImphandze yesikwele yekugucugucuka (variance); libanga lelivamile lemphumela kusuka enanini lelilindzelekile.Fundza konkhe → kunye nengcenye ngaphansi, iseshini lembi, futsi luhlobo lweseshini i-Fibonacci leyiveta cishe kanye kulokusihlanu ngalobudze. Imijikeleto lecedvwako yakhokha $5 ngamunye; umjikeleto lomubi wabita lemashumi lasiphohlongo nesiphohlongo yayo.
Loko lokukhonjiswa yiseshini
I-Fibonacci isabalalisa liwa le-Martingale ekujikeleteni lokunyenti futsi ilisundzulisela kudze, loko lokuyenta iphephe kakhulu futsi ikhohlise kakhulu: luchungechunge lwemanani labhejwako lubukeka lunengcondvo kuze kufike kulelo lelingesilo. Kulahlekelwa lokulindzelekile ngelidola ngalinye akushintji; imali yonkhe lebhejiweimaliImali yonkhe lebhejiweLinani lonkhe lelibhejwe ngesikhatsi seseshini noma ngesikhatsi lesitsite, kubalwa nemali lewiniwe lephindze yabhejwa. Kuphindze kutsiwe: handle, action.Fundza konkhe → lengetiwe ngenca yekukhuphuka yilapho imali iya khona.
Imibuto
Ngobe kuwina elilungeni n kubuyisa kulahlekelwa kwemalunga n−1 na-n−2, lahlanganiswa alingane nalo. Luchungechunge lwakhelwe lomtsetfo.
Linani lelibhejwako lelikhulu kakhulu liphansi enanini lelifanako lekulahlekelwa, ngako yebo, ngemcondvo weliwa lelifika sekwephuzile. Lokulindzelekile kuyafana ncamashi.
Lelishumi nakubili ngeliyunithi la-$5: 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65, 105, 170, 275, 445, bese 720.
Lokuhlekisako
Silinganiso segolide ngu-1.618. Inzuzo yelikhasino isesengu-2.70%.
Imitfombo
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.